Explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) detects wildfire occurrence in the Mediterranean countries of Southern Europe

Explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) detects wildfire occurrence in the Mediterranean countries of Southern Europe

Blog Article

Abstract The impacts and threats posed by wildfires are dramatically increasing due to climate change.In recent years, the wildfire community has attempted to estimate wildfire occurrence with machine learning models.However, to fully exploit the potential of these models, it is of paramount importance to make their predictions interpretable and intelligible.

This study is 12n/1200 wella a first attempt to provide an eXplainable artificial intelligence (XAI) framework for estimating wildfire occurrence using a Random Forest model with Shapley values for interpretation.Our findings accurately detected regions with a high presence of wildfires (area under the curve 81.3%) and outlined the drivers empowering occurrence, such as the Fire Weather Index and Normalized Difference Vegetation Index.

Furthermore, our analysis suggests tasoliesi the presence of anomalous hotspots.In contexts where human and natural spheres constantly intermingle and interact, the XAI framework, suitably integrated into decision support systems, could support forest managers to prevent and mitigate future wildfire disasters and develop strategies for effective fire management, response, recovery, and resilience.